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Machine condition prognosis based on regression trees and one-step-ahead prediction

Tran, Van Tung, Yang, Bo-Suk, Oh, Myung-Suck and Tan, Andy (2007) Machine condition prognosis based on regression trees and one-step-ahead prediction. In: International Symposium on Mechatronics and Automatic Control, 2007, Hochiminh City, Vietnam.

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Predicting degradation of working conditions of machinery and trending of fault propagation before they reach the alarm or failure threshold is extremely importance in industry to fully utilize the machine production capacity. This paper proposes a method to predict future conditions of machines based on one-step-ahead prediction of time-series forecasting techniques and regression trees. In this study, the embedding dimension is firstly estimated in order to determine the necessary available
observations for predicting the next value in the future. This value is subsequently utilized for
regression tree predictor. Real trending data of low methane compressor acquired from condition
monitoring routine are employed for evaluating the proposed method. The results indicate that the
proposed method offers a potential for machine condition prognosis

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Paper)
Subjects: T Technology > TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery
Schools: School of Computing and Engineering
School of Computing and Engineering > Diagnostic Engineering Research Centre
Depositing User: Van Tran
Date Deposited: 07 Feb 2013 13:34
Last Modified: 04 Nov 2015 19:11


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